Freddie Mac recently released its U.S. Economic and Housing
Market Outlook for November showing that the major shift for the coming year
will be a transition from a refinance-dominated mortgage market to the first
purchase-dominated market the industry has seen since 2000.
Interest rates are expected to rise gradually throughout
2014 with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage ending the year near 5 percent with
affordability still strong in most markets. However, rising rates will hinder
affordability in high-priced markets.
Projecting housing starts to rise to a 1.15 million pace in
2014, which should help to create around 700,000 new jobs and quicken the pace
of economic growth.
Gains in home sales will be limited by continuing tight
inventory in many markets, but anticipate sales to rise about 5 to 6 percent in
2014 from 2013 levels.
Expect home values to continue rising but at a more moderate
pace, around 5 to 6 percent annualized. And expect multifamily property
investments to continue to be relatively attractive as we enter 2014, compared
with the first decade of the 2000s, based on the Freddie Mac Multifamily
Investment Index.
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